Food Shortage Simulation Predicts 400% INCREASE in Food Prices by 2030

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by Robert Wheeler

Recently, I wrote an article discussing the looming food crisis in the United States and the rest of the world. While it might seem like paranoia to some readers, the information provided in that article is very real. In fact, I’m not the only one that’s been thinking about it.

Back in 2015, 65 people showed up at the World Wildlife Fund’s headquarters in Washington D.C. These individuals were international policymakers, corporate businessmen, academics, and “leaders in thought.” Their goal? To run a simulation of a world food crisis that would begin in 2020 and run to 2030.

The press release of the event was published on the Big Ag corporation Cargill website and revealed that the food shortage simulation that the decade between 2020 and 2030 would see two major food crises. During this time, prices would rise 400% of the long term average, there would be a number of climate-related weather events, governments would be toppled in Ukraine and Pakistan, and famine would force refugees from Myanmar, Chad, Sudan, and Bangladesh.

Does any of this sound familiar yet?

In the simulation, one governmental solution was a tax on meat. Another? A global carbon tax.

A meat tax. A carbon tax.

Seriously. This has to sound familiar by now.

The press release stated:

On Monday and Tuesday, 65 international policymakers, academics, business and thought leaders gathered at the World Wildlife Fund’s headquarters in Washington DC to game out how the world would respond to a future food crisis.

The game took the players from the year 2020 to 2030. As it was projected, the decade brought two major food crises, with prices approaching 400 percent of the long term average; a raft of climate-related extreme weather events; governments toppling in Pakistan and Ukraine; and famine and refugee crises in Bangladesh, Myanmar, Chad and Sudan.

Climate, hunger, civil unrest and spiking food prices came together at the Food Chain Reaction game in Washington DC this week. Cooperation mostly won the day. Along with WWF, the Center for American Progress and the Center for Naval Analyses, Cargill was one of Food Chain Reaction’s organizers. The company was represented in the game by Corporate Vice President Joe Stone.

. . . . .

Over two days, the players – divided into teams for Africa, Brazil, China, the EU, India, the U.S., international business and investors, and multilateral institutions – crafted their policy responses as delegations engaged in intensive negotiations.

Of course, working “globally” turned out to be the most beneficial.

Cooperation mostly won the day over the short term individual advantage. Teams pledged to build international information networks and early warning systems on hunger and crops together, invest jointly in smart agricultural technology and build up global food stocks as a buffer against climate shocks.

In the face of a steep price spike with looming global food shortages in 2022, the EU at one point suspended its environmental rules for agriculture and introduced a tax on meat. Both measures were quickly reversed in 2025, as harvests went back to normal and tensions eased in the hypothetical universe.

Carbon and meat taxes are “a possibility.”

The most eye-catching result, however, was a deal between the U.S., the EU, India and China, standing in for the top 20 greenhouse gas emitters, to institute a global carbon tax and cap CO2 emissions in 2030.

“We’ve learned that a carbon tax is a possibility in years ahead,” acknowledged Stone. “But before we can consider moving ahead with a measure like that, we must study it and understand it much better. We have to avoid sudden market distortions and unforeseen consequences.”

Stone said he was impressed with the complexity of the game and the second and third order consequences of some of the decisions that were taken. “Take the meat tax Europe wanted to impose, and think through that. What meat are you going to tax – does that mean poultry and beef or aquaculture as well? Where do you levy the tax, where does the money go, what are the unintended consequences?

The game was built over the course of months, with maximal realism in mind. The scenario was extrapolated from events that have actually occurred in the real world, such as the food crisis of 2008-2009 or the recent string of hottest years and months on record.

Cargill economist Tim Bodin, who helped design the game and sat on the judges’ panel that evaluated the team’s moves, said he was surprised by the degree of cooperation. “Most people started out with a short-term perspective, but transitioned to long-term measure pretty quickly – they started working to strengthen resiliency instead of just putting out fires.”

Keep in mind, this press release and the exercise took place in 2015 yet it’s almost as if they were reading the script for 2020.

There’s a clear agenda.

The fact is, we know there is an agenda for all of these things – food shortages, meat tax, global carbon tax and if COVID has been anything, it has been the most helpful little virus to ever have existed. That is, as long as you’re a member of the global feudal overlords. If you’ve been reading my articles recently, I’d encourage you to pay attention to what’s being said. Self-reliance is about to become a whole lot more important.

Do you think the price of food will increase as much as predicted in this simulation? How are you planning to prepare for this? Share your thoughts in the comments below.

 

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24 Responses

  1. There are way too many humans living in this earth. Need at least a 50% reduction. That should keep food prices stable.

    1. The problem is not that there are too many people. The earth has the potential to create more than enough food for the current population. The problem is that governments and tyrants keep people from being productive in many places. The U.S. regularly produces too much food for its population and sells or gives much of it away to poorer countries. Each human, given the opportunity, has the potential to work and create more than enough food and shelter for his/her needs.

      1. Not really Shoshannah. Have you ever tried to grow anything for consumption? It’s pretty hard and demanding, very time/energy/resources consuming. I’m not talking about growing organics as a hobby in the backyard. Even to feed a family a balanced diet on the long term is quite a challenge, and it demands a crazy space too.

        Takes yrs to develop the knowledge and still, crops are lost, animals get sick and need care, food and water, things go wrong. One must dedicate so much time and energy to this that it’s impossible to grow kids, work or do much else. It’s a lifelong endeavor.

        I agree that govts. keep a tight leash on this but it’s for sanitary reasons. One sickness or infection can spread and ravage a good portion of the yearly crop in a country, wreaking havoc and causing enormous economical and supply deficits and shortages. And there are hundreds of threats to the cultures.

        I’m not trying to discourage anyone from trying it, just saying how hard it can be in reality.

      1. Why do people get so offended when someone mentions that there are too many people on this planet? Back before we experienced pretty much unlimited access to food and our basic needs (for most of the population in the USA) nature kept populations pretty much in check. People were killed off on a regular basis and that included children just by living life in general. Now we have people living well into their hundreds who should have died from disease but are keeping the medical industrial complex alive with surgeries, etc. Is it a quality of life to keep someone alive until they are 100+ who has dementia and no control over their own bodily functions anymore?

        In reality technology is making it harder for more people to be successful and provide a comfortable life for themselves and their families. Less people are needed to do the work and so people not having as many children should be something everyone should think about. The more people there are the less life is valued. Go to a third world country if you don’t think this is true. There it is even more dog eat dog than in the USA. But it is coming here. Sooner rather than later.

    2. OK, Brady: we nominate YOU to go tell all those “extra people” that they need to get on with it and just die already. Because that way, there’ll be enough food for self righteous posers drunk on delusions that they have the right to say that some should live while others must die

    3. There is no food crisis, only misuse of land. Look at how much land is under lawns, which could instead be used for growing food. If we put half of the space of U.S. lawns alone, under food, we could feed the nation.

  2. Food crisis? Perhaps man made to address a fake crisis. It amazes me how smart mankind has become. The smarter they become the more stupid they reason.

  3. Who are you to say who lives or dies? Clearly you haven’t figured out that you are among that number as well. And it’s much higher than fifty percent. The elite want ninety percent of the population killed. The only members allowed in will be the billionaires. And that’s not you. But praise God He’s going to interrupt their wicked plans.

  4. I don’t trust any simulations, they are only as good or as biased, as the data they are made from.
    The ” simulation” or model for the Covid 19 predicted millions dead from the virus in the US alone.
    Food shortages always occur, mostly in the third world nations.
    So I am sure some will occur. Some groups might try to manipulate a crises to increase prices.
    Nothing new in any of that.
    Self sufficiency is always the best choice. But a person can always adjust their diet also.
    Food producers must sell their products to make a profit, long term storage is not an option. So there is a limit to how much they can do in manipulation of amounts or prices. The Economic rules of Supply and Demand take over. As does National security rules.

    Globalism is a failure. Trying to shift food resources beyond a certain point does not work. So in countries that refuse to produce adequate food for their population, they will see starvation and a reduction in population and the demand for food.
    Nature always balances things out, no matter how much man interferes.

  5. In WV, some prices in Oct 2020 are the same as 2019. Others have doubled. But there is a good side to this–preppers have risen from 1 or 2% to 52%. Of course that raises food prices in the short term. But if things get as bad as we fear, 100 million of Americans will have enuf to eat at least for a while.

    On the other hand, all those trillions of bailouts while jobs are “inessential” may well mean hyperinflation of 1000% in a year. That would be a lot harder to take, especially for once-a-year COLA like social insecurity. The only solution is gardening, including chickens or other animals, and save your own seeds.

  6. I strongly distrust the motives of those running such simulations every bit as much as the broken computer models from Ferguson in England. When the Rockefeller quarter was theorizing back in 2010 about how a pandemic might behave, and then is in the same corner as eugenics-obsessed megalomanic Bill Gates who funded a pandemic simulation in the fall of 2019 just in time to capitalize on the fear that the “surprise” Wu-Flu would make possible, it’s time to dig deeper into the history of such zillionaire string-pullers and wannabee tyrants. Perhaps it’s no surprise that tyrants of a feather slither together.

    Gates vaccines were banned from multiple 3rd world countries because of the horrific numbers of injuries and outright deaths those vaccines caused — for which Gates showed no remorse or conscience whatsoever. The Rockefellers have been pushing faulty vaccines at least as far back as their vaccine killed some 50 to 100 million people worldwide circa 1918 that was covered up by deceitful labeling as the mysterious “Spanish Flu.” Pushing petroleum-based medications at sky-high patented pricing while doing everything possible to destroy naturopathic / holistic medicine has been their obscene goal for a medical cartel ever since. The hardback “Murder by Injection…” by Eustace Mullins provides a chilling look at that history.

    And now with the advent of a plandemic that has generated enough fear that monetary tyrants are preparing to jam down our throats to create a global digital cashless economy monopoly, this is laying the groundwork for the most extensive tyranny in recorded world history. Michael Maloney said that the Soviet Union crashed their currency some seven times during their bloody years before their pre-internet 1989 collapse — but that was without the ability to counterfeit digitally with lightning speed.

    So yes it’s trivially easy to create computer simulations based on garbage statistics and evil assumptions, but the ugly motives of the wannabee tyrants promoting such trash are critically important to expose.

    –Lewis

    1. Remember when Bill Gates was this cool computer nerd? A great guy that nerds like myself could admire?

      Not sure what happened, or how, but somewhere along the line, he became Mr. Burns from “The Simpsons”. A cold selfish man drunk on delusions of getting to say who lives and who dies. The only difference between Billy and “spooky dude” Soros is that Gates doesn’t LOOK like he’s undead

  7. Food shortage is one type of crisis that worries me. People go wild and feral when hungry and everything else starts to unravel pretty fast when that happens. Just read about famine in the past China Ukraine Venezuela The Potato Famine in Ireland and so on. It’s ugly.

  8. United States alone, 27 trillion in debt? There are only 7 billion people in the world. Seems silly the gov’t doesn’t know how to give people their money back to spend in the economy. If everyone in the world received 1 billion, there would still be money left for their welfare programs.

    1. 1 trillion = 1,000 billion. So, divide 27 trillion by 7 billion (27,000,000,000,000 / 7,000,000,000) and each person gets about $3,800.

      Not a small sum of money, especially if you are a Sudanese goat herder and living off less than a dollar a day, but certainly not enough to retire on.

  9. Remember, this is a SIMULATION, which if you remember with COVID, is guesswork at best. They are playing a video game with various opportunities for input – and getting paid by someone to do it. However, they never stop working to learn how to manipulate the world scene – which is what they expect to do. They hope that this will help them in their attempt to control and tax the elements of the world through imagined disasters and the like.

  10. It’s possible that too low prices will cause a shortage of food. It appears we are in a deflationary cycle, much like the depression in the 1930s. When people cannot afford the price of foods they cut back and don’t waste or substitute other types of food.. This causes low prices for the actual producers who no longer can profit. They dump their products to try and get the price back up (much like the dairy farmers now and in the 30s) or go bankrupt.

    A deflationary depression has hit the tight oil business. Many are going under because the prices are too low to make a profit. There is a narrow pricing band in all commerce where, when it goes out of that range, the price is too low for the producers and the same price is too high for the consumers.

    If worker’s wages do not keep up with prices producers need to make a profit, you have a dilemma.

  11. This post is a little late. I was checking on my pantry preps yesterday,I randomly picked a can of chili to eat. Good thing we weren’t in the middle of an emergency. About an hour later I was on the toilet for my private shtf . Rest ofthe day was spent running back and forth to the bathroom. People,randomly check your pantry preps and other stockpiles of preps. Check to see your propane stove still works,see if you have enough propane. Check your tents for leaks,dry rot, missing pegs,etc. Look for critters in your stored food,check,check,check

  12. If only Big Agriculture could be convinced to use regenerative farming, there would be less of a possibility of food shortages – maybe none. Watch the film “Kiss the Ground” on Netflix – very educational. The bottom line is, “Regenerative agriculture can be applied anywhere in the world and reverse the effects of desertification through no-till systems, crop diversity, planned livestock grazing and biosequestration — the process of capturing and storing carbon in plants, microbes and other organisms.”

  13. Uh, yeah. My “black helos are coming for your guns” friend said in Clinton’s first term that bread would be $20 per loaf in 10 years due inflation and “Dombocrap” policies. I paid $.88 last weekend for wheat bread.

  14. What immediately made me draw a legitimacy foul with the exercise above? One named participant in particular…
    The Center For American Progress. John Podesta ran it covertly and under the radar for years. One of their proponents? A real D- bag by the name of John Holdren. He was the one that coined the modern phrase “worthless eaters” and held a blatant distain for the common man, his value to society, and was a zealous engineer of new metrics that were needed to begin WEEDING OUT said worthless eaters from society…. Essentially deciding WHICH people were worth an investment in resources and deserved to continue living, and those who did not…
    So when i see inclusion of the CAP organization on something as vital as food distribution and availability, i would conclude that the entire exercise had a more nefarious purpose than the one publicly stated..

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